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Defining the Baseline Down

Click here for a printer-friendly version of this article.When defending the Administration’s economic record, the President and his supporters try to deflect blame for the slow and halting nature of...

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The Hysteric Response to the Reinhart-Rogoff Row

Last week, careful research by UMass-Amherst professors found that the seminal paper by Ken Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart contained a data error that biased their conclusion that debt-to-GDP ratios in...

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Does the Housing Boom Signal the End of the Slow Recovery?

The recovery from the financial crisis of 2007‐2008 has been proceeding for 16 quarters, slower than every preceding recession with a financial crisis in U.S. history. Many have argued that the...

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2014 Might Be Better Than You Think!

As 2013 draws to a close, we continue to see a gradual broadening and strengthening of the U.S. economy’s recovery from the financial crisis and severe recession that began more than five years ago....

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European Headwind: ECB Policy and Fed Normalization

Teaser: It has been five years since the epicenter of the global financial crisis that erupted in late 2008 moved from the United States across the Atlantic.  Since then, while the U.S. economy has...

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